Economic and health-care experts have been debating how many lives could be lost through lack of insurance if health care reform fails. What economist Tyler Cowen wants to know is what how bad it is to lack health insurance in 2009. Or, in the terms he frames it, in what year was the life expectancy for people with insurance the same as the life expectancy for people without insurance now:

"Being uninsured in 2009 is, in terms of life expectancy, as bad as being insured in the earlier year ????" What is the correct year for this comparison to hold?