The Producers Guild Awards have a good history of predicting the Best Picture winner at the Oscars: so what happens now that 12 Years a Slave and Gravity tied? 

The two films were the first ever to share the Darryl F. Zanuck Award, the top prize offered by the guild, according to The Hollywood Reporter's Scott Feinberg. As for the guild's track record when it comes to predicting Oscar winners? Each of the last six PGA winners got the Oscar, and 70.8 percent of the winners overall. 

If American Hustle had taken the top prize last night—just a day after it had won the best ensemble trophy at the Screen Actors Guild Awards—it would have looked hard to beat at the Oscar ceremony. But now it looks like it's still a three-way race between 12 YearsGravity and Hustle—which is basically how it's looked all season. Next up is the Directors Guild Awards, which will take place next Saturday. Those, Feinberg writes, have the "best track record of all at predicting the best picture Oscar winner."